Geo Group Inc (The) (NYSE:GEO – Free Report) – Research analysts at Sidoti raised their FY2026 earnings per share estimates for Geo Group in a research report issued to clients and investors on Thursday, October 8th. Sidoti analyst B. Mccarthy now expects that the real estate investment trust will earn $1.37 per share for the year, up from their prior forecast of $1.30. The consensus estimate for Geo Group’s current full-year earnings is $1.31 per share. Sidoti also issued estimates for Geo Group’s Q1 2027 earnings at $0.40 EPS, Q2 2027 earnings at $0.47 EPS, Q3 2027 earnings at $0.49 EPS, Q4 2027 earnings at $0.51 EPS, FY2027 earnings at $1.86 EPS, Q1 2028 earnings at $0.45 EPS, Q2 2028 earnings at $0.50 EPS, Q3 2028 earnings at $0.51 EPS and FY2028 earnings at $1.98 EPS.
Other equities research analysts also recently issued reports about the stock. UBS Group reissued a “buy” rating on shares of Geo Group in a research report on Tuesday. Zacks Research raised shares of Geo Group from a “hold” rating to a “strong-buy” rating in a research report on Monday, July 20th. Wall Street Zen downgraded Geo Group from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Saturday, July 25th. JonesTrading reissued a “buy” rating and issued a $40.00 price objective on shares of Geo Group in a research note on Tuesday. Finally, Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a “hold (c+)” rating on shares of Geo Group in a research report on Friday, September 4th. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, four have given a Buy rating and one has assigned a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the company currently has a consensus rating of “Buy” and a consensus target price of $40.00.
Geo Group Stock Performance
GEO opened at $30.99 on Friday. Geo Group has a 1-year low of $12.51 and a 1-year high of $33.17. The company has a market cap of $4.08 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.62, a PEG ratio of 1.67 and a beta of 0.77. The company’s fifty day moving average price is $31.26 and its two-hundred day moving average price is $26.66. The company has a current ratio of 1.65, a quick ratio of 1.65 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.00.
Geo Group (NYSE:GEO – Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings results on Thursday, August 6th. The real estate investment trust reported $0.37 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $0.29 by $0.08. The business had revenue of $732.07 million during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $721.43 million. Geo Group had a net margin of 10.31% and a return on equity of 10.42%. Geo Group’s revenue was up 15.1% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter last year, the firm posted $0.22 EPS.
Hedge Funds Weigh In On Geo Group
A number of hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of the business. BlackRock Inc. bought a new position in shares of Geo Group in the second quarter valued at approximately $570,744,000. Pentwater Capital Management LP bought a new stake in Geo Group during the second quarter worth $312,698,000. Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC lifted its holdings in Geo Group by 14.2% during the first quarter. Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC now owns 5,314,006 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $89,328,000 after acquiring an additional 661,281 shares during the period. Hsbc Holdings PLC purchased a new position in Geo Group in the second quarter worth $118,673,000. Finally, Rubric Capital Management LP boosted its position in Geo Group by 7.3% in the first quarter. Rubric Capital Management LP now owns 3,743,180 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $62,923,000 after purchasing an additional 256,265 shares during the last quarter. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 76.10% of the company’s stock.
Insider Transactions at Geo Group
In other Geo Group news, VP Matthew Albence sold 11,797 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction dated Friday, September 11th. The shares were sold at an average price of $31.45, for a total value of $371,015.65. Following the completion of the sale, the vice president directly owned 87,602 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $2,755,082.90. This represents a 11.87% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is accessible through the SEC website. Also, insider Ronald A. Brack sold 7,000 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Friday, August 21st. The shares were sold at an average price of $32.00, for a total transaction of $224,000.00. Following the completion of the sale, the insider owned 71,614 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $2,291,648. This trade represents a 8.90% decrease in their position. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. Insiders have sold 28,797 shares of company stock worth $911,916 over the last three months. 4.98% of the stock is owned by insiders.
Key Headlines Impacting Geo Group
Here are the key news stories impacting Geo Group this week:
- Positive Sentiment: Sidoti raised its earnings outlook: The firm increased its FY2026 EPS forecast to $1.37 from $1.30, FY2027 EPS to $1.86 from $1.67, Q1 2027 EPS to $0.40 from $0.34, Q2 2027 EPS to $0.47 from $0.42, Q3 2027 EPS to $0.49 from $0.44 and Q4 2027 EPS to $0.51 from $0.47. Sidoti projects FY2028 EPS of $1.98, indicating expectations for continued earnings growth.
- Positive Sentiment: Broker ratings remain supportive: JonesTrading assigned GEO a Buy rating, while Northland Securities maintained an Outperform rating and a $40 price target. Northland expects FY2027 EPS of $1.54, below Sidoti’s estimate but still reflecting anticipated profitability.
- Positive Sentiment: Debt-management actions may improve financial flexibility: GEO amended and restated its credit agreement while maintaining a $550 million facility. The company also announced plans to redeem all senior secured notes due in 2029 and amended and extended its revolving credit facility, developments that could reduce refinancing risk and provide greater shareholder flexibility. Geo Group Enhances Credit Facility and Shareholder Flexibility
- Neutral Sentiment: Valuation and execution remain key considerations: GEO is trading near its 52-week high, so investors may demand evidence that the higher earnings forecasts are achievable. The company’s debt levels also remain an important factor despite the recent refinancing actions.
Geo Group Company Profile
The GEO Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) is a provider of correctional, detention and community-reentry services. The company designs, finances, develops and manages secure facilities for federal, state and local government agencies, as well as certain international government clients. Its facilities house individuals in pretrial detention, immigration detention and correctional programs.
GEO also provides correctional and behavioral healthcare, transportation and security services, and electronic monitoring technologies.
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