What is Sidoti’s Estimate for Geo Group Q3 Earnings?

Posted by George Bondi on Aug 12th, 2026

Geo Group Inc (The) (NYSE:GEO – Free Report) – Stock analysts at Sidoti boosted their Q3 2026 earnings per share estimates for shares of Geo Group in a research note issued to investors on Friday, August 7th. Sidoti analyst B. Mccarthy now expects that the real estate investment trust will post earnings per share of $0.36 for the quarter, up from their prior forecast of $0.29. The consensus estimate for Geo Group’s current full-year earnings is $1.31 per share. Sidoti also issued estimates for Geo Group’s Q4 2026 earnings at $0.30 EPS, FY2026 earnings at $1.30 EPS, Q1 2027 earnings at $0.34 EPS, Q2 2027 earnings at $0.42 EPS, Q3 2027 earnings at $0.44 EPS, Q4 2027 earnings at $0.47 EPS and FY2027 earnings at $1.67 EPS.

Other equities research analysts also recently issued reports about the stock. UBS Group reiterated an “outperform” rating on shares of Geo Group in a research note on Monday. Northland Securities raised their target price on shares of Geo Group from $30.00 to $40.00 and gave the company an “outperform” rating in a research note on Friday, June 26th. JonesTrading lifted their target price on shares of Geo Group from $33.00 to $40.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a report on Thursday, August 6th. Zacks Research raised shares of Geo Group from a “hold” rating to a “strong-buy” rating in a research report on Monday, July 20th. Finally, Wall Street Zen downgraded Geo Group from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Saturday, July 25th. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, four have given a Buy rating and one has assigned a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat.com, Geo Group has an average rating of “Buy” and an average price target of $40.00.

Check Out Our Latest Research Report on Geo Group

Geo Group Trading Up 3.5%

NYSE GEO opened at $31.73 on Monday. Geo Group has a one year low of $12.51 and a one year high of $32.62. The company’s 50 day moving average price is $29.58 and its 200 day moving average price is $21.93. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.00, a quick ratio of 1.65 and a current ratio of 1.65. The firm has a market capitalization of $4.18 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.97, a PEG ratio of 1.68 and a beta of 0.79.

Geo Group (NYSE:GEO – Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, August 6th. The real estate investment trust reported $0.37 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $0.29 by $0.08. Geo Group had a return on equity of 10.42% and a net margin of 10.31%.The business had revenue of $732.07 million for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $721.43 million. During the same period in the previous year, the company posted $0.22 EPS. The company’s revenue was up 15.1% compared to the same quarter last year.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Institutional investors and hedge funds have recently made changes to their positions in the company. Geneos Wealth Management Inc. boosted its position in Geo Group by 245.1% in the 2nd quarter. Geneos Wealth Management Inc. now owns 1,101 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock valued at $26,000 after buying an additional 782 shares during the last quarter. Bessemer Group Inc. increased its position in shares of Geo Group by 111.9% during the first quarter. Bessemer Group Inc. now owns 1,723 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $29,000 after acquiring an additional 910 shares during the last quarter. IFP Advisors Inc acquired a new position in shares of Geo Group in the fourth quarter worth about $30,000. Global Retirement Partners LLC acquired a new position in shares of Geo Group in the second quarter worth about $34,000. Finally, Bayforest Capital Ltd purchased a new position in Geo Group in the fourth quarter valued at about $37,000. 76.10% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Key Headlines Impacting Geo Group

Here are the key news stories impacting Geo Group this week:

Positive Sentiment: Noble Financial raised its earnings forecasts and maintained an “Outperform” rating. The firm increased its Q3 2026 EPS estimate to $0.35 from $0.31, FY2026 EPS to $1.31 from $1.24, and FY2027 EPS to $1.56 from $1.49. The FY2026 estimate is slightly above the broader $1.30 consensus, suggesting improving expectations for GEO’s profitability. Geo Group analyst estimate coverage
Positive Sentiment: Momentum-focused investors continue to favor GEO. Zacks included the company in its Rank #1 “Strong Buy” momentum list, citing recent price strength. GEO was also included among stocks showing strong recent gains and earnings growth, which may attract additional short-term buying interest. Zacks momentum stocks article Zacks price strength article
Positive Sentiment: Recent operating performance provides fundamental support. GEO’s latest reported quarter included EPS of $0.37 versus the $0.29 analyst estimate, while revenue rose 15.1% year over year to approximately $732 million. The earnings beat and higher forward estimates help explain the stock’s continued strength.

About Geo Group

(Get Free Report)

The GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) is a leading provider of correctional, detention and community reentry services to government agencies around the world. As a real estate investment trust, the company specializes in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities for adult and juvenile offenders, immigration detainees and individuals requiring mental health treatment or substance abuse programming. GEO’s integrated service model also encompasses electronic monitoring, rehabilitative programming and post-release supervision aimed at reducing recidivism and enhancing public safety.

GEO’s portfolio spans a range of facility types, including medium- and maximum-security correctional institutions, residential reentry centers, mental health treatment units and immigration detention centers.